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Geopolitical Crisis

Insight : correlate GPR with SP500 for investment

On average the best course of action is to buy risky assets

To repeat the key result of studies on geopolitical risks and their impact on stock markets: your default reaction should be to buy risky assets as they sell off temporarily.

Only if there is a lasting impact on inflation, earnings or real rates can one justify selling some stocks. But a lasting impact must be lasting. Share prices may react to the expectation for the next quarter or two, but that is just noise. Expectations must change for more than a year to have a significant and lasting impact on share prices.”

https://klementoninvesting.substack.com/p/repost-armed-conflict-investor-survival

Download the report to see the risk and the right behaviour if it occurs

https://www.blackrock.com/corporate/insights/blackrock-investment-institute/interactive-charts/geopolitical-risk-dashboard#methodology

Geopolitical Risk Index History :

https://www.matteoiacoviello.com/gpr.htm

https://en.macromicro.me/charts/55589/global-geopolitical-risk-index

Countries by risks

https://www.geopriskindex.com/results-final-risk-index